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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 36230, NY · Census Tract 36230800002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$463K
Downside (P10)
$306K
-34% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$624K
+35% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.08M
+133% by 2030
Base case: +35% by 2030, with a forecast range from -34% to +133%. The model forecasts this with 32% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $463K | $528K | $564K | $568K | $624K |
| YoY Change | +14.1% | +6.8% | +0.7% | +9.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $357K | $328K | $309K | $306K | |
| Upside (P90) | $835K | $953K | $968K | $1.1M |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$357K to $835K
90.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$306K to $1.08M
123.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Windsor area | $465K | $710K | +52.8% | |
| Almond area | $461K | $648K | +40.5% | |
| Tract 760003 | $463K | $629K | +35.7% | |
| Tract 560009 | $463K | $624K | +34.6% | |
| Tract 720004 | $462K | $595K | +28.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wawarsing area | $425K | $664K | +56.2% | |
| Tract 600001 | $430K | $658K | +53.0% | |
| Windsor area | $465K | $710K | +52.8% | |
| Johnsburg area | $459K | $694K | +51.1% | |
| Tract 280000 | $313K | $472K | +50.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnsburg area | $406K | $568K | $411K | |
| Tract 080005 | $410K | $570K | $400K | |
| Tract 160005 | $396K | $574K | $399K | |
| Bronx area | $392K | $489K | $376K | |
| Tract 000009 | $316K | $417K | $355K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources