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County 36301, NY · Census Tract 36301200007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$404K
Downside (P10)
$390K
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$562K
+39% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$774K
+92% by 2030
Base case: +39% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +92%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $404K | $467K | $498K | $516K | $562K |
| YoY Change | +15.6% | +6.6% | +3.7% | +8.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $381K | $362K | $374K | $390K | |
| Upside (P90) | $587K | $625K | $690K | $774K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$381K to $587K
44.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$390K to $774K
68.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200007 | $404K | $562K | +39.3% | |
| Tract 080007 | $421K | $635K | +50.9% | |
| Tract 840001 | $524K | $768K | +46.6% | |
| Tract 440003 | $451K | $647K | +43.5% | |
| Tract 360002 | $493K | $686K | +39.1% | |
| Tract 640007 | $537K | $731K | +36.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200007 | $404K | $562K | +39.3% | |
| Tract 080007 | $421K | $635K | +50.9% | |
| Tract 840001 | $524K | $768K | +46.6% | |
| Tract 440003 | $451K | $647K | +43.5% | |
| Tract 360002 | $493K | $686K | +39.1% | |
| Tract 640007 | $537K | $731K | +36.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200007 | $404K | $562K | $384K | |
| Tract 920002 | $593K | $807K | $602K | |
| Tract 840001 | $524K | $768K | $590K | |
| Tract 360002 | $493K | $686K | $568K | |
| Tract 440003 | $451K | $647K | $465K | |
| Tract 080007 | $421K | $635K | $440K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources