County 36665, NY · Census Tract 36665160100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.10M
Downside (P10)
$382K
-65% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$789K
-28% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.30M
+19% by 2030
Base case: -28% by 2030, with a forecast range from -65% to +19%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 36665 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.1M | $938K | $811K | $789K |
| YoY Change | -3.2% | -11.9% | -13.6% | -2.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $610K | $504K | $368K | $382K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$705K to $1.35M
58.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$382K to $1.30M
117.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 920007 | $826K | $713K | -13.6% |
| Tract 200002 | $753K | $711K | -5.5% |
| Tract 120001 | $715K | $595K | -16.8% |
| Tract 160003 | $1.63M | $2.06M | +26.6% |
| Tract 360007 | $480K | $564K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 160003 | $1.63M | $2.06M | +26.6% |
| Tract 360007 | $480K | $564K | +17.5% |
| Tract 200002 | $753K | $711K | -5.5% |
| Tract 920007 | $826K | $713K | -13.6% |
| Tract 120001 | $715K | $595K | -16.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 360007 | $480K | $564K | $531K |
| Tract 200002 | $753K | $711K | $879K |
| Tract 920007 | $826K | $713K | $920K |
| Tract 120001 | $715K | $595K | $968K |
| Tract 160003 | $1.63M | $2.06M | $1.24M |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources