County 36966, NY · Census Tract 36966921006 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.61M
Downside (P10)
$1.56M
-3% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.20M
+37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.80M
+74% by 2030
Base case: +37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +74%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 36966 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.6M | $1.8M | $1.9M | $2.0M | $2.2M |
| YoY Change | +10.1% | +4.8% | +7.8% | +10.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.6M | |
| Upside (P90) | $2.1M | $2.3M | $2.5M | $2.8M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.47M to $1.79M
20.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.56M to $2.80M
56.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 680101 | $1.25M | $1.83M | +45.9% |
| Tract 160100 | $982K | $1.38M | +40.5% |
| Tract 920007 | $864K | $858K | -0.8% |
| Tract 360007 | $579K | $682K | +17.8% |
| Tract 080002 | $551K | $607K | +10.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 400006 | $277K | $416K | +50.1% |
| Tract 560001 | $277K | $406K | +46.6% |
| Tract 960106 | $323K | $473K | +46.6% |
| Tract 680101 | $1.25M | $1.83M | +45.9% |
| Tract 120001 | $332K | $468K | +40.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 560001 | $277K | $406K | $289K |
| Tract 400006 | $277K | $416K | $302K |
| Tract 120001 | $332K | $468K | $351K |
| Tract 960106 | $323K | $473K | $369K |
| Tract 800004 | $467K | $573K | $550K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources