What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36029009503 in Amherst?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $320,844 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36029009503 in Amherst?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $320,844 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.1%.

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Parcel 36029009503 (Amherst) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36029009503, Amherst Home Price Forecast

Erie, NY · ZIP 14226 · Census Tract 36029009503 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$321K

Downside (P10)

$259K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$334K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$500K

+56% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$183K	$216K	$245K	$288K	$314K	$321K	$324K	$332K	$334K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$137,444	-$105,344	-$75,944	-$33,244	-$6,744		+$3,235	+$11,384	+$13,210
Growth % vs 2026	-42.8%	-32.8%	-23.7%	-10.4%	-2.1%		+1.0%	+3.5%	+4.1%
Downside (P10)							$272K	$257K	$259K
Upside (P90)							$414K	$461K	$500K

Forecast Confidence

60%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$272K to $414K

43.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$259K to $500K

72.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.1% · Spread: 72%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 36029009503, Amherst on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).