What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36031961002 in Moriah?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $142,318 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36031961002 in Moriah?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $142,318 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.6%.

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Parcel 36031961002 (Moriah) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36031961002, Moriah Home Price Forecast

Essex, NY · ZIP 12956 · Census Tract 36031961002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$142K

Downside (P10)

$124K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$149K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$196K

+38% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$115K	$126K	$144K	$145K	$134K	$142K	$143K	$150K	$149K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$27,518	-$16,118	+$1,982	+$2,482	-$7,918		+$877	+$7,557	+$6,576
Growth % vs 2026	-19.3%	-11.3%	+1.4%	+1.7%	-5.6%		+0.6%	+5.3%	+4.6%
Downside (P10)							$115K	$123K	$124K
Upside (P90)							$165K	$177K	$196K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$115K to $165K

34.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$124K to $196K

48.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.6% · Spread: 48%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36031961002, Moriah on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).