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Nassau, NY · ZIP 11735 · Census Tract 36059520401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$561K
Downside (P10)
$504K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$587K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$942K
+68% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +68%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $370K | $383K | $402K | $423K | $408K | $424K | $436K | $526K | $516K | $564K | $561K | $590K | $598K | $587K |
| YoY Change | +3.7% | +4.9% | +5.0% | -3.4% | +3.7% | +3.0% | +20.7% | -2.0% | +9.4% | -0.5% | +5.0% | +1.4% | -1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $505K | $494K | $504K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $764K | $878K | $942K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$505K to $764K
43.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$504K to $942K
74.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farmingdale · 11735 · (Tract 5204.1) | $565K | $587K | +3.8% | |
| Uniondale (Tract 407502) | $557K | $642K | +15.2% | |
| Hempstead | $557K | $627K | +12.5% | |
| Farmingdale | $567K | $618K | +9.1% | |
| Uniondale (Tract 407302) | $557K | $583K | +4.6% | |
| Freeport | $563K | $589K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farmingdale · 11735 · (Tract 5204.1) | $565K | $587K | +3.8% | |
| West Hempstead | $703K | $832K | +18.4% | |
| Hempstead (Tract 407203) | $481K | $569K | +18.4% | |
| Franklin Square | $667K | $788K | +18.1% | |
| Levittown | $588K | $692K | +17.7% | |
| Hempstead (Tract 407000) | $517K | $606K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farmingdale · 11735 · (Tract 5204.1) | $565K | $587K | $437K | |
| Hempstead (Tract 407101) | $353K | $394K | $220K | |
| Freeport | $451K | $472K | $215K | |
| Hempstead (Tract 406801) | $435K | $462K | $202K | |
| Hempstead (Tract 406701) | $289K | $298K | $165K | |
| East Meadow | $194K | $213K | $133K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.