Nassau, NY · ZIP 11545 · Census Tract 36059517701 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.94M
Downside (P10)
$1.47M
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.10M
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.75M
+42% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +42%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Nassau markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.9M | $2.0M | $1.9M | $2.1M | $2.1M | $2.1M |
| YoY Change | -2.5% | +4.9% | -2.2% | -1.0% | +1.4% | +1.5% | +5.1% | +9.7% | +3.1% | -2.0% | +6.1% | -0.1% | +2.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.7M | $1.6M | $1.5M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.4M | $2.5M | $2.8M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.71M to $2.36M
31.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.47M to $2.75M
61.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oyster Bay · Glen Head · (Tract 5177.1) | $1.97M | $2.10M | +6.2% | |
| Flower Hill | $1.98M | $2.01M | +1.7% | |
| North Hempstead | $2.03M | $2.21M | +9.1% | |
| North Hempstead | $2.03M | $2.19M | +8.1% | |
| Munsey Park | $2.04M | $2.35M | +15.4% | |
| Old Westbury | $2.04M | $2.25M | +10.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oyster Bay · Glen Head · (Tract 5177.1) | $1.97M | $2.10M | +6.2% | |
| West Hempstead | $703K | $832K | +18.4% | |
| Hempstead | $481K | $569K | +18.4% | |
| Franklin Square | $667K | $788K | +18.1% | |
| Levittown | $588K | $692K | +17.7% | |
| Hempstead | $517K | $606K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oyster Bay · Glen Head · (Tract 5177.1) | $1.97M | $2.10M | $1.29M | |
| East Meadow | $194K | $213K | $133K | |
| Hempstead | $289K | $298K | $165K | |
| Hempstead | $435K | $462K | $202K | |
| Freeport | $451K | $472K | $215K | |
| Hempstead | $353K | $394K | $220K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.