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Nassau, NY · ZIP 11580 · Census Tract 36059410400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$606K
Downside (P10)
$487K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$675K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$880K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $366K | $366K | $386K | $397K | $420K | $444K | $459K | $542K | $600K | $604K | $606K | $608K | $639K | $675K | $632K |
| YoY Change | +0.1% | +5.5% | +2.8% | +5.8% | +5.6% | +3.6% | +17.9% | +10.6% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +5.1% | +5.6% | -6.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $506K | $509K | $487K | $564K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $760K | $817K | $880K | $706K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$506K to $760K
41.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$564K to $706K
22.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valley Stream · 11580 · (Tract 4104) | $612K | $675K | +10.3% | |
| Elmont (Tract 405000) | $604K | $674K | +11.6% | |
| Oceanside | $606K | $657K | +8.5% | |
| Elmont (Tract 404800) | $604K | $634K | +5.0% | |
| North Massapequa | $605K | $628K | +3.8% | |
| Hicksville | $605K | $628K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valley Stream · 11580 · (Tract 4104) | $612K | $675K | +10.3% | |
| West Hempstead | $703K | $832K | +18.4% | |
| Hempstead (Tract 407203) | $481K | $569K | +18.4% | |
| Franklin Square | $667K | $788K | +18.1% | |
| Levittown | $588K | $692K | +17.7% | |
| Hempstead (Tract 407000) | $517K | $606K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valley Stream · 11580 · (Tract 4104) | $612K | $675K | $393K | |
| Hempstead (Tract 407101) | $353K | $394K | $220K | |
| Freeport | $451K | $472K | $215K | |
| Hempstead (Tract 406801) | $435K | $462K | $202K | |
| Hempstead (Tract 406701) | $289K | $298K | $165K | |
| East Meadow | $194K | $213K | $133K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.