What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36069051101 in Canandaigua?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $181,943 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36069051101 in Canandaigua?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $181,943 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.6%.

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Parcel 36069051101 (Canandaigua) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36069051101, Canandaigua Home Price Forecast

Ontario, NY · ZIP 14424 · Census Tract 36069051101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$182K

Downside (P10)

$155K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$188K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$261K

+43% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$115K	$136K	$162K	$166K	$174K	$182K	$181K	$187K	$188K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$66,643	-$45,943	-$20,143	-$16,443	-$8,043		-$1,378	+$5,434	+$6,475
Growth % vs 2026	-36.6%	-25.3%	-11.1%	-9.0%	-4.4%		-0.8%	+3.0%	+3.6%
Downside (P10)							$156K	$158K	$155K
Upside (P90)							$220K	$250K	$261K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$156K to $220K

35.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$155K to $261K

56.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.6% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36069051101, Canandaigua on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).