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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Ontario, NY · ZIP 14564 · Census Tract 36069050101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$460K
Downside (P10)
$392K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$493K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$685K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $269K | $276K | $310K | $316K | $330K | $356K | $369K | $426K | $413K | $445K | $460K | $477K | $486K | $493K |
| YoY Change | +2.5% | +12.5% | +1.7% | +4.5% | +8.0% | +3.6% | +15.5% | -3.1% | +7.8% | +3.2% | +3.7% | +1.8% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $409K | $404K | $392K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $573K | $632K | $685K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$409K to $573K
34.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$392K to $685K
59.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor · 14564 · (Tract 501.1) | $448K | $493K | +10.0% | |
| Gorham | $335K | $373K | +11.3% | |
| Victor (Tract 050104) | $505K | $558K | +10.7% | |
| Victor (Tract 050105) | $326K | $355K | +9.0% | |
| Victor (Tract 050106) | $490K | $521K | +6.3% | |
| Canandaigua | $388K | $398K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor · 14564 · (Tract 501.1) | $448K | $493K | +10.0% | |
| Geneva (Tract 051501) | $256K | $316K | +23.2% | |
| Farmington | $249K | $294K | +18.0% | |
| Hopewell | $174K | $197K | +13.6% | |
| Phelps | $171K | $193K | +12.6% | |
| Geneva (Tract 051700) | $108K | $121K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor · 14564 · (Tract 501.1) | $448K | $493K | $293K | |
| Manchester (Tract 050304) | $156K | $172K | $94K | |
| Hopewell | $174K | $197K | $91K | |
| Geneva | $108K | $121K | $78K | |
| Manchester (Tract 050302) | $124K | $133K | $67K | |
| Manchester (Tract 050303) | $140K | $147K | $63K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.