What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36071015008 in Kiryas Joel · Monroe · (Tract 150.8)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,098,504 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36071015008 in Kiryas Joel · Monroe · (Tract 150.8)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,098,504 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.3%.

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Parcel 36071015008 (Kiryas Joel) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36071015008, Kiryas Joel · Monroe · (Tract 150.8) Home Price Forecast

Orange, NY · ZIP 10950 · Census Tract 36071015008 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$1.10M

Downside (P10)

$860K

-22% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.18M

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.50M

+37% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$568K	$586K	$639K	$847K	$1.0M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.2M	$1.2M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$530,604	-$512,704	-$459,904	-$251,104	-$59,404		+$3,458	+$80,832	+$79,654
Growth % vs 2026	-48.3%	-46.7%	-41.9%	-22.9%	-5.4%		+0.3%	+7.4%	+7.3%
Downside (P10)							$964K	$966K	$860K
Upside (P90)							$1.3M	$1.4M	$1.5M

Forecast Confidence

70%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$964K to $1.3M

28.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$860K to $1.5M

54.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.3% · Spread: 54%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36071015008, Kiryas Joel · Monroe · (Tract 150.8) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).