Queens, NY · ZIP 11369 · Census Tract 36081035100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$320K
Downside (P10)
$283K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$345K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$418K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +30%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Queens markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $200K | $235K | $277K | $258K | $242K | $254K | $250K | $286K | $305K | $315K | $320K | $326K | $334K | $345K |
| YoY Change | +17.2% | +18.1% | -6.8% | -6.5% | +5.0% | -1.3% | +14.3% | +6.7% | +3.3% | +1.6% | +1.8% | +2.4% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $279K | $274K | $283K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $375K | $399K | $418K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$279K to $375K
29.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$283K to $418K
39.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Elmhurst | $319K | $345K | +8.4% | |
| Kew Gardens | $322K | $341K | +5.6% | |
| Howard Beach | $317K | $339K | +7.1% | |
| Jamaica | $316K | $337K | +6.5% | |
| Richmond Hill | $326K | $349K | +6.9% | |
| Flushing | $328K | $347K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Elmhurst | $319K | $345K | +8.4% | |
| Jamaica | $952K | $1.19M | +24.6% | |
| Flushing | $616K | $753K | +22.4% | |
| Middle Village | $851K | $1.03M | +21.1% | |
| New York | $810K | $979K | +20.8% | |
| Cambria Heights | $661K | $791K | +19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Elmhurst | $319K | $345K | $135K | |
| New York | $168K | $193K | $88K | |
| Oakland Gardens | $299K | $333K | $137K | |
| Woodhaven | $310K | $335K | $143K | |
| Kew Gardens | $322K | $341K | $150K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.