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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Queens, NY · ZIP 11428 · Census Tract 36081056600 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$725K
Downside (P10)
$571K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$785K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.09M
+50% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $467K | $465K | $492K | $499K | $553K | $521K | $573K | $632K | $649K | $722K | $725K | $735K | $745K | $785K |
| YoY Change | -0.2% | +5.6% | +1.6% | +10.8% | -5.7% | +9.8% | +10.3% | +2.8% | +11.2% | +0.4% | +1.5% | +1.3% | +5.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $582K | $575K | $571K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $920K | $1.0M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$582K to $920K
45.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$571K to $1.09M
65.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $727K | $785K | +8.0% | |
| New York (Tract 103202) | $727K | $840K | +15.6% | |
| South Ozone Park | $725K | $810K | +11.8% | |
| New York (Tract 161700) | $726K | $808K | +11.3% | |
| Jamaica | $725K | $789K | +8.9% | |
| Hollis | $723K | $766K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $727K | $785K | +8.0% | |
| Jamaica | $952K | $1.19M | +24.6% | |
| Flushing | $616K | $753K | +22.4% | |
| Middle Village | $851K | $1.03M | +21.1% | |
| New York | $810K | $979K | +20.8% | |
| Cambria Heights | $661K | $791K | +19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | $727K | $785K | $515K | |
| Woodhaven | $310K | $335K | $143K | |
| Oakland Gardens | $299K | $333K | $137K | |
| East Elmhurst | $319K | $345K | $135K | |
| New York | $168K | $193K | $88K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.