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Queens, NY · ZIP 11365 · Census Tract 36081134100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.10M
Downside (P10)
$981K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.23M
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.65M
+50% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $636K | $669K | $709K | $712K | $778K | $874K | $919K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +5.1% | +6.0% | +0.4% | +9.3% | +12.4% | +5.2% | +9.1% | +2.9% | +0.8% | +5.6% | +4.8% | +2.8% | +3.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $982K | $981K | $981K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.5M | $1.6M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$982K to $1.33M
30.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$981K to $1.65M
54.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh Meadows | $1.07M | $1.23M | +14.9% | |
| Astoria (Tract 006501) | $1.10M | $1.20M | +9.3% | |
| Little Neck | $1.10M | $1.15M | +4.6% | |
| Jackson Heights | $1.10M | $1.26M | +15.1% | |
| Fresh Meadows | $1.10M | $1.20M | +8.5% | |
| Astoria (Tract 005300) | $1.10M | $1.21M | +10.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh Meadows | $1.07M | $1.23M | +14.9% | |
| Jamaica | $952K | $1.19M | +24.6% | |
| Flushing | $616K | $753K | +22.4% | |
| Middle Village | $851K | $1.03M | +21.1% | |
| New York | $810K | $979K | +20.8% | |
| Cambria Heights | $661K | $791K | +19.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresh Meadows | $1.07M | $1.23M | $669K | |
| New York | $168K | $193K | $88K | |
| East Elmhurst | $319K | $345K | $135K | |
| Oakland Gardens | $299K | $333K | $137K | |
| Woodhaven | $310K | $335K | $143K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.