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St. Lawrence, NY · ZIP 13642 · Census Tract 36089492600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$117K
Downside (P10)
$100K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$124K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$186K
+59% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +59%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $86K | $84K | $85K | $86K | $87K | $86K | $88K | $98K | $103K | $112K | $117K | $119K | $120K | $124K |
| YoY Change | -2.4% | +0.4% | +2.0% | +0.7% | -1.2% | +1.9% | +11.4% | +5.4% | +8.9% | +4.3% | +2.0% | +1.0% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $107K | $103K | $100K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $147K | $167K | $186K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$107K to $147K
33.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$100K to $186K
69.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwards area | $114K | $124K | +8.4% | |
| Massena (Tract 490200) | $122K | $137K | +12.5% | |
| Norfolk | $109K | $122K | +12.4% | |
| De Kalb area | $105K | $114K | +8.5% | |
| Lisbon | $130K | $140K | +7.6% | |
| Massena (Tract 490300) | $119K | $122K | +2.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwards area | $114K | $124K | +8.4% | |
| Potsdam | $166K | $194K | +17.1% | |
| Colton area | $148K | $172K | +16.1% | |
| Waddington area | $142K | $162K | +14.5% | |
| Ogdensburg (Tract 491600) | $78K | $89K | +13.8% | |
| Ogdensburg (Tract 491400) | $94K | $107K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwards area | $114K | $124K | $86K | |
| De Kalb area | $105K | $114K | $58K | |
| Ogdensburg | $84K | $90K | $53K | |
| Lisbon | $130K | $140K | $53K | |
| Massena | $76K | $84K | $52K | |
| Lawrence | $97K | $102K | $51K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.