What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36085004003 in Stapleton · 10304 · (Tract 40.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $585,030 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.8%.

Parcel 36085004003, Stapleton · 10304 · (Tract 40.3) Home Price Forecast

Staten Island, NY · ZIP 10304 · Census Tract 36085004003 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$585K

Downside (P10)

$524K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$613K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$936K

+60% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +60%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Staten Island markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$568K	$585K	$595K	$622K	$613K
YoY Change		+3.0%	+1.7%	+4.5%	-1.4%
Downside (P10)			$522K	$534K	$524K
Upside (P90)			$797K	$880K	$936K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The range stays consistent through the forecast period.

1-Year Spread

$522K to $797K

46.3% of median

5-Year Spread

$524K to $936K

67.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.8% · Spread: 67%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 36085004003, Stapleton · 10304 · (Tract 40.3) on map

Open Full Map ↗

Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).