What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103147505 in East Islip · 11730 · (Tract 1475.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $535,259 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36103147505 in East Islip · 11730 · (Tract 1475.5)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $535,259 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.5%.

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Parcel 36103147505 (East Islip) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 36103147505, East Islip · 11730 · (Tract 1475.5) Home Price Forecast

Suffolk, NY · ZIP 11730 · Census Tract 36103147505 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$535K

Downside (P10)

$415K

-23% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$559K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$703K

+31% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$370K	$385K	$467K	$515K	$534K	$535K	$546K	$562K	$559K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$165,359	-$149,859	-$68,459	-$20,659	-$1,759		+$10,385	+$26,916	+$23,995
Growth % vs 2026	-30.9%	-28.0%	-12.8%	-3.9%	-0.3%		+1.9%	+5.0%	+4.5%
Downside (P10)							$426K	$412K	$415K
Upside (P90)							$638K	$693K	$703K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$426K to $638K

38.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$415K to $703K

51.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.5% · Spread: 52%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 36103147505, East Islip · 11730 · (Tract 1475.5) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).