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Suffolk, NY · ZIP 11946 · Census Tract 36103190403 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$901K
Downside (P10)
$683K
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$918K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.18M
+31% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $457K | $450K | $459K | $490K | $547K | $603K | $629K | $692K | $786K | $875K | $901K | $908K | $912K | $918K |
| YoY Change | -1.5% | +2.0% | +6.7% | +11.8% | +10.1% | +4.4% | +9.9% | +13.7% | +11.2% | +3.0% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $758K | $739K | $683K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$758K to $1.10M
37.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$683K to $1.18M
54.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton · Hampton Bays · (Tract 1904.3) | $885K | $918K | +3.7% | |
| West Islip | $900K | $1.03M | +14.1% | |
| Huntington (Tract 111300) | $900K | $1.01M | +12.7% | |
| Southampton | $911K | $987K | +8.3% | |
| Huntington (Tract 110401) | $898K | $958K | +6.7% | |
| Southold | $893K | $927K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton · Hampton Bays · (Tract 1904.3) | $885K | $918K | +3.7% | |
| Islip (Tract 147401) | $511K | $609K | +19.1% | |
| Islip (Tract 146206) | $500K | $595K | +19.0% | |
| Shirley | $406K | $480K | +18.3% | |
| Ronkonkoma | $578K | $681K | +17.9% | |
| Port Jefferson Station | $553K | $651K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton · Hampton Bays · (Tract 1904.3) | $885K | $918K | $501K | |
| Calverton | $224K | $238K | $140K | |
| Coram | $291K | $309K | $135K | |
| Rocky Point | $248K | $260K | $135K | |
| Middle Island | $248K | $279K | $134K | |
| Southampton | $230K | $252K | $100K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.