What is the home price forecast for Rockland · Livingston Manor · (Tract 9502.2)?

Homecastr forecasts Rockland · Livingston Manor · (Tract 9502.2) median home values at $211,398 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.4%.

How confident is the Rockland · Livingston Manor · (Tract 9502.2) forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $176,363 (downside) to $347,340 (upside), with a spread of 73% of median.

Rockland · Livingston Manor · (Tract 9502.2) Home Price Forecast

Sullivan, NY · ZIP 12758 · Census Tract 36105950202 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$211K

Downside (P10)

$176K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$236K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$347K

+64% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +64%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Sullivan markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$90K	$121K	$149K	$188K	$201K	$211K	$219K	$226K	$236K
YoY Change		+34.3%	+22.9%	+26.1%	+6.8%	+5.2%	+3.7%	+3.1%	+4.2%
Downside (P10)							$178K	$179K	$176K
Upside (P90)							$250K	$300K	$347K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.

1-Year Spread

$178K to $250K

33.1% of median

5-Year Spread

$176K to $347K

72.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.4% · Spread: 73%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Rockland · Livingston Manor · (Tract 9502.2)	$205K	$236K	+14.7%
Mamakating	$224K	$244K	+8.9%
Liberty	$229K	$247K	+8.0%
Delaware	$231K	$265K	+14.7%
Fallsburg	$188K	$203K	+7.8%
Thompson	$237K	$254K	+7.2%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Rockland · Livingston Manor · (Tract 9502.2)	$205K	$236K	+14.7%
Tusten	$267K	$317K	+18.6%
Delaware	$231K	$265K	+14.7%
Thompson	$171K	$196K	+14.4%
Liberty	$297K	$331K	+11.4%
Callicoon	$327K	$363K	+11.1%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Rockland · Livingston Manor · (Tract 9502.2)	$205K	$236K	$171K
Rockland	$115K	$122K	$83K
Fallsburg	$251K	$267K	$97K
Liberty	$177K	$194K	$101K
Fallsburg	$188K	$203K	$106K
Thompson	$171K	$196K	$112K

Location

Rockland · Livingston Manor · (Tract 9502.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).