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Columbus, OH · ZIP 43202 · Census Tract 39049001000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$307K
Downside (P10)
$271K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$338K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$521K
+70% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +70%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $113K | $121K | $123K | $140K | $172K | $209K | $201K | $216K | $219K | $305K | $307K | $321K | $323K | $338K | $323K |
| YoY Change | +7.0% | +1.2% | +14.2% | +22.5% | +21.7% | -3.9% | +7.9% | +1.2% | +39.5% | +0.5% | +4.7% | +0.5% | +4.7% | -4.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $264K | $264K | $271K | $283K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $430K | $430K | $521K | $363K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$264K to $430K
51.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$283K to $363K
24.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus · 43202 · (Tract 10) | $309K | $338K | +9.3% | |
| Columbus (Tract 006822) | $304K | $342K | +12.4% | |
| Columbus (Tract 009361) | $307K | $341K | +10.9% | |
| Columbus (Tract 007214) | $305K | $338K | +10.7% | |
| Columbus (Tract 008171) | $305K | $325K | +6.5% | |
| Jefferson | $305K | $319K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus · 43202 · (Tract 10) | $309K | $338K | +9.3% | |
| Perry area | $376K | $461K | +22.8% | |
| Whitehall | $154K | $185K | +20.3% | |
| Columbus (Tract 008322) | $156K | $188K | +20.3% | |
| Columbus (Tract 002100) | $500K | $595K | +19.1% | |
| Gahanna | $413K | $491K | +18.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus · 43202 · (Tract 10) | $309K | $338K | $250K | |
| Columbus (Tract 009325) | $78K | $85K | $55K | |
| Columbus (Tract 006352) | $124K | $134K | $54K | |
| Columbus (Tract 000710) | $119K | $122K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.