Guernsey, OH · ZIP 43773 · Census Tract 39059977100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$177K
Downside (P10)
$147K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$185K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$238K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +35%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Guernsey markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $94K | $96K | $100K | $112K | $119K | $129K | $130K | $160K | $190K | $169K | $177K | $178K | $183K | $185K |
| YoY Change | +2.1% | +3.8% | +12.1% | +6.9% | +8.3% | +0.5% | +22.8% | +18.9% | -10.9% | +4.6% | +0.7% | +3.1% | +1.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $154K | $152K | $147K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $204K | $234K | $238K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$154K to $204K
28.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$147K to $238K
49.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londonderry area | $171K | $185K | +8.2% | |
| Cambridge | $178K | $194K | +9.1% | |
| Liberty area | $181K | $207K | +14.2% | |
| Richland | $167K | $178K | +6.8% | |
| Spencer area | $199K | $208K | +4.6% | |
| Center area | $208K | $241K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londonderry area | $171K | $185K | +8.2% | |
| Center area | $208K | $241K | +15.8% | |
| Liberty area | $181K | $207K | +14.2% | |
| Cambridge | $103K | $113K | +10.3% | |
| Cambridge | $178K | $194K | +9.1% | |
| Richland | $167K | $178K | +6.8% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.