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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jefferson, OH · Census Tract 39081600005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$63K
Downside (P10)
$55K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$88K
+39% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$162K
+155% by 2030
Base case: +39% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +155%. The model forecasts this with 33% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $63K | $77K | $78K | $81K | $88K |
| YoY Change | +22.3% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +8.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $55K | $53K | $51K | $55K | |
| Upside (P90) | $110K | $123K | $137K | $162K |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$55K to $110K
70.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$55K to $162K
121.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Island Creek area | $63K | $88K | +38.9% | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 480005) | $55K | $85K | +55.3% | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 640007) | $64K | $90K | +40.1% | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 360002) | $75K | $101K | +34.1% | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 880003) | $101K | $133K | +31.3% | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 000003) | $122K | $159K | +30.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Island Creek area | $63K | $88K | +38.9% | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 480005) | $55K | $85K | +55.3% | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 640007) | $64K | $90K | +40.1% | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 360002) | $75K | $101K | +34.1% | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 120006) | $125K | $167K | +33.8% | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 880003) | $101K | $133K | +31.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Island Creek area | $63K | $88K | $107K | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 120006) | $125K | $167K | $129K | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 880003) | $101K | $133K | $115K | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 360002) | $75K | $101K | $98K | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 640007) | $64K | $90K | $95K | |
| Island Creek area (Tract 480005) | $55K | $85K | $85K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources