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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Lake, OH · ZIP 44094 · Census Tract 39085201500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$242K
Downside (P10)
$219K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$266K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$330K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $150K | $161K | $165K | $167K | $179K | $212K | $184K | $213K | $231K | $228K | $242K | $259K | $262K | $266K | $236K |
| YoY Change | +7.1% | +2.6% | +1.3% | +7.4% | +18.3% | -13.5% | +16.2% | +8.3% | -1.5% | +6.2% | +7.0% | +1.4% | +1.5% | -11.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $215K | $218K | $219K | $211K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $295K | $323K | $330K | $265K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$215K to $295K
31.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$211K to $265K
23.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willoughby · 44094 · (Tract 2015) | $236K | $266K | +12.7% | |
| Perry (Tract 205300) | $245K | $290K | +18.6% | |
| Perry (Tract 206300) | $242K | $286K | +18.3% | |
| Mentor (Tract 203000) | $235K | $251K | +6.9% | |
| Willoughby | $245K | $253K | +3.0% | |
| Mentor (Tract 202901) | $243K | $246K | +1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willoughby · 44094 · (Tract 2015) | $236K | $266K | +12.7% | |
| Perry (Tract 205300) | $245K | $290K | +18.6% | |
| Perry (Tract 206300) | $242K | $286K | +18.3% | |
| Fairport Harbor | $151K | $173K | +14.6% | |
| Willoughby Hills | $374K | $427K | +14.3% | |
| Madison | $212K | $242K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willoughby · 44094 · (Tract 2015) | $236K | $266K | $111K | |
| Painesville | $134K | $151K | $76K | |
| Mentor | $157K | $167K | $73K | |
| Wickliffe (Tract 200600) | $171K | $175K | $70K | |
| Wickliffe (Tract 200700) | $164K | $179K | $69K | |
| Eastlake | $140K | $151K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.