What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39095003901 in Toledo · 43609 · (Tract 39.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $76,023 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 39095003901 in Toledo · 43609 · (Tract 39.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $76,023 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.4%.

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Parcel 39095003901 (Toledo) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 39095003901, Toledo · 43609 · (Tract 39.1) Home Price Forecast

Lucas, OH · ZIP 43609 · Census Tract 39095003901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$76K

Downside (P10)

$69K

-9% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$83K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$102K

+34% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$59K	$62K	$67K	$66K	$74K	$76K	$78K	$80K	$83K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$17,023	-$13,723	-$8,823	-$9,623	-$2,523		+$1,993	+$4,316	+$7,140
Growth % vs 2026	-22.4%	-18.1%	-11.6%	-12.7%	-3.3%		+2.6%	+5.7%	+9.4%
Downside (P10)							$68K	$69K	$69K
Upside (P90)							$89K	$94K	$102K

Forecast Confidence

78%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$68K to $89K

27.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$69K to $102K

39.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.4% · Spread: 40%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 39095003901, Toledo · 43609 · (Tract 39.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).