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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Lucas, OH · ZIP 43605 · Census Tract 39095005200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$74K
Downside (P10)
$60K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$78K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$111K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $44K | $48K | $49K | $51K | $51K | $55K | $55K | $58K | $69K | $72K | $74K | $75K | $75K | $78K |
| YoY Change | +11.3% | +1.9% | +4.1% | -0.6% | +7.1% | +0.9% | +5.3% | +19.3% | +4.2% | +2.5% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +3.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $62K | $60K | $60K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $93K | $101K | $111K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$62K to $93K
41.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$60K to $111K
65.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | $73K | $78K | +5.9% | |
| Toledo (Tract 004701) | $73K | $84K | +15.7% | |
| Toledo (Tract 000701) | $74K | $85K | +15.0% | |
| Toledo (Tract 001400) | $77K | $87K | +12.0% | |
| Toledo (Tract 003902) | $75K | $82K | +10.0% | |
| Toledo (Tract 003901) | $76K | $83K | +9.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | $73K | $78K | +5.9% | |
| Toledo (Tract 005804) | $163K | $193K | +18.6% | |
| Toledo (Tract 006600) | $85K | $100K | +17.3% | |
| Toledo (Tract 007204) | $253K | $294K | +16.1% | |
| Oregon | $272K | $316K | +16.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.