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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Lucas, OH · ZIP 43613 · Census Tract 39095006300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$126K
Downside (P10)
$101K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$140K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$212K
+68% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +68%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $89K | $79K | $83K | $86K | $83K | $87K | $96K | $109K | $111K | $121K | $126K | $127K | $134K | $140K |
| YoY Change | -10.9% | +4.2% | +4.2% | -3.5% | +4.8% | +9.8% | +13.7% | +2.1% | +9.3% | +3.9% | +0.4% | +6.0% | +4.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $104K | $105K | $101K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $175K | $187K | $212K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$104K to $175K
56.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$101K to $212K
79.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | $124K | $140K | +12.3% | |
| Toledo (Tract 006900) | $125K | $138K | +10.6% | |
| Toledo (Tract 001303) | $127K | $132K | +4.0% | |
| Toledo (Tract 007901) | $122K | $126K | +3.7% | |
| Toledo (Tract 001201) | $124K | $128K | +3.1% | |
| Toledo (Tract 006100) | $123K | $125K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | $124K | $140K | +12.3% | |
| Toledo (Tract 005804) | $163K | $193K | +18.6% | |
| Toledo (Tract 006600) | $85K | $100K | +17.3% | |
| Toledo (Tract 007204) | $253K | $294K | +16.1% | |
| Oregon | $272K | $316K | +16.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.