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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Lucas, OH · ZIP 43614 · Census Tract 39095010200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$93K
Downside (P10)
$73K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$95K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$124K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $76K | $71K | $75K | $76K | $79K | $78K | $83K | $80K | $89K | $90K | $93K | $92K | $95K | $95K |
| YoY Change | -5.8% | +4.8% | +1.7% | +4.7% | -1.8% | +6.8% | -4.3% | +12.2% | +0.3% | +3.3% | -0.7% | +3.1% | +0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $68K | $74K | $73K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $108K | $115K | $124K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$68K to $108K
43.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$73K to $124K
52.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | $90K | $95K | +5.6% | |
| Toledo (Tract 002401) | $91K | $102K | +12.8% | |
| Toledo (Tract 000201) | $96K | $103K | +7.2% | |
| Toledo (Tract 005704) | $93K | $99K | +6.7% | |
| Toledo (Tract 000302) | $97K | $103K | +6.6% | |
| Toledo (Tract 006700) | $95K | $97K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | $90K | $95K | +5.6% | |
| Toledo (Tract 005804) | $163K | $193K | +18.6% | |
| Toledo (Tract 006600) | $85K | $100K | +17.3% | |
| Toledo (Tract 007204) | $253K | $294K | +16.1% | |
| Oregon | $272K | $316K | +16.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.