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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Lucas, OH · ZIP 43611 · Census Tract 39095005601 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$188K
Downside (P10)
$148K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$197K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$259K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $137K | $141K | $160K | $167K | $182K | $188K | $191K | $200K | $197K | $190K |
| YoY Change | +3.4% | +12.9% | +4.4% | +9.1% | +3.4% | +1.6% | +4.9% | -1.6% | -3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $159K | $155K | $148K | $171K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $229K | $255K | $259K | $213K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$159K to $229K
36.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$171K to $213K
22.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington · Toledo · (Tract 56.1) | $184K | $197K | +7.0% | |
| Maumee (Tract 007104) | $188K | $211K | +12.2% | |
| Toledo (Tract 007207) | $187K | $206K | +10.3% | |
| Maumee (Tract 007004) | $190K | $209K | +10.0% | |
| Toledo (Tract 007700) | $191K | $205K | +7.5% | |
| Oregon | $185K | $191K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington · Toledo · (Tract 56.1) | $184K | $197K | +7.0% | |
| Toledo (Tract 005804) | $163K | $193K | +18.6% | |
| Toledo (Tract 006600) | $85K | $100K | +17.3% | |
| Toledo (Tract 007204) | $253K | $294K | +16.1% | |
| Oregon | $272K | $316K | +16.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.