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Mahoning, OH · ZIP 44515 · Census Tract 39099812602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$160K
Downside (P10)
$142K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$168K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$245K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $114K | $111K | $114K | $114K | $115K | $115K | $119K | $139K | $149K | $160K | $160K | $165K | $165K | $168K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$46,153 | -$48,953 | -$46,853 | -$46,153 | -$44,953 | -$45,053 | -$41,153 | -$21,153 | -$11,653 | -$553 | +$4,292 | +$4,191 | +$7,963 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.8% | -30.5% | -29.2% | -28.8% | -28.0% | -28.1% | -25.7% | -13.2% | -7.3% | -0.3% | +2.7% | +2.6% | +5.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $143K | $142K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $205K | $232K | $245K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$147K to $205K
35.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$142K to $245K
61.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austintown · Youngstown · (Tract 8126.2) | $163K | $168K | +3.5% | |
| Coitsville | $167K | $184K | +10.0% | |
| Boardman (Tract 811400) | $156K | $167K | +6.9% | |
| Smith | $149K | $156K | +5.0% | |
| Boardman (Tract 811700) | $175K | $182K | +3.6% | |
| Boardman (Tract 811500) | $180K | $180K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austintown · Youngstown · (Tract 8126.2) | $163K | $168K | +3.5% | |
| Struthers | $91K | $105K | +15.4% | |
| Youngstown (Tract 800600) | $60K | $69K | +15.4% | |
| Youngstown (Tract 802300) | $50K | $58K | +15.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Mahoning, OH · ZIP 44515 · Census Tract 39099812602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$160K
Downside (P10)
$142K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$168K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$245K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $114K | $111K | $114K | $114K | $115K | $115K | $119K | $139K | $149K | $160K | $160K | $165K | $165K | $168K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$46,153 | -$48,953 | -$46,853 | -$46,153 | -$44,953 | -$45,053 | -$41,153 | -$21,153 | -$11,653 | -$553 | +$4,292 | +$4,191 | +$7,963 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.8% | -30.5% | -29.2% | -28.8% | -28.0% | -28.1% | -25.7% | -13.2% | -7.3% | -0.3% | +2.7% | +2.6% | +5.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $143K | $142K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $205K | $232K | $245K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$147K to $205K
35.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$142K to $245K
61.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austintown · Youngstown · (Tract 8126.2) | $163K | $168K | +3.5% | |
| Coitsville | $167K | $184K | +10.0% | |
| Boardman (Tract 811400) | $156K | $167K | +6.9% | |
| Smith | $149K | $156K | +5.0% | |
| Boardman (Tract 811700) | $175K | $182K | +3.6% | |
| Boardman (Tract 811500) | $180K | $180K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austintown · Youngstown · (Tract 8126.2) | $163K | $168K | +3.5% | |
| Struthers | $91K | $105K | +15.4% | |
| Youngstown (Tract 800600) | $60K | $69K | +15.4% | |
| Youngstown (Tract 802300) | $50K | $58K | +15.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
