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Montgomery, OH · ZIP 45449 · Census Tract 39113050301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$142K
Downside (P10)
$97K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$146K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$219K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 54% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $82K | $80K | $84K | $88K | $83K | $87K | $103K | $121K | $140K | $142K | $142K | $144K | $146K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$58,014 | -$60,014 | -$62,114 | -$57,414 | -$53,714 | -$58,414 | -$54,414 | -$39,014 | -$20,814 | -$2,114 | -$10 | +$2,078 | +$3,974 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.9% | -42.3% | -43.8% | -40.5% | -37.9% | -41.2% | -38.4% | -27.5% | -14.7% | -1.5% | -0.0% | +1.5% | +2.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $115K | $103K | $97K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $175K | $188K | $219K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$115K to $175K
42.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$97K to $219K
83.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Carrollton | $141K | $146K | +3.3% | |
| Huber Heights (Tract 100301) | $140K | $156K | +11.7% | |
| Kettering | $144K | $160K | +10.5% | |
| Dayton | $139K | $147K | +5.5% | |
| Huber Heights (Tract 100302) | $143K | $150K | +5.1% | |
| Trotwood | $141K | $147K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Carrollton | $141K | $146K | +3.3% | |
| Shiloh | $69K | $84K | +20.9% | |
| Washington | $449K | $534K | +18.9% | |
| Kettering (Tract 021800) | $296K | $352K | +18.9% | |
| Dayton | $67K | $80K | +18.5% | |
| Kettering (Tract 021200) | $212K | $248K | +16.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Montgomery, OH · ZIP 45449 · Census Tract 39113050301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$142K
Downside (P10)
$97K
-31% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$146K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$219K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -31% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 54% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $84K | $82K | $80K | $84K | $88K | $83K | $87K | $103K | $121K | $140K | $142K | $142K | $144K | $146K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$58,014 | -$60,014 | -$62,114 | -$57,414 | -$53,714 | -$58,414 | -$54,414 | -$39,014 | -$20,814 | -$2,114 | -$10 | +$2,078 | +$3,974 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.9% | -42.3% | -43.8% | -40.5% | -37.9% | -41.2% | -38.4% | -27.5% | -14.7% | -1.5% | -0.0% | +1.5% | +2.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $115K | $103K | $97K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $175K | $188K | $219K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$115K to $175K
42.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$97K to $219K
83.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Carrollton | $141K | $146K | +3.3% | |
| Huber Heights (Tract 100301) | $140K | $156K | +11.7% | |
| Kettering | $144K | $160K | +10.5% | |
| Dayton | $139K | $147K | +5.5% | |
| Huber Heights (Tract 100302) | $143K | $150K | +5.1% | |
| Trotwood | $141K | $147K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Carrollton | $141K | $146K | +3.3% | |
| Shiloh | $69K | $84K | +20.9% | |
| Washington | $449K | $534K | +18.9% | |
| Kettering (Tract 021800) | $296K | $352K | +18.9% | |
| Dayton | $67K | $80K | +18.5% | |
| Kettering (Tract 021200) | $212K | $248K | +16.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
