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Montgomery, OH · ZIP 45417 · Census Tract 39113070201 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$86K
Downside (P10)
$67K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$91K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$130K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $51K | $46K | $37K | $30K | $29K | $36K | $39K | $59K | $71K | $84K | $86K | $87K | $89K | $91K |
| YoY Change | -10.4% | -19.8% | -17.8% | -3.3% | +23.1% | +8.7% | +50.8% | +21.2% | +18.9% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +1.7% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $71K | $70K | $67K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $104K | $117K | $130K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$71K to $104K
38.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$67K to $130K
69.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trotwood | $85K | $91K | +7.4% | |
| Dayton (Tract 004100) | $86K | $99K | +14.2% | |
| Dayton area (Tract 060300) | $91K | $104K | +13.9% | |
| Dayton area (Tract 080600) | $83K | $93K | +11.2% | |
| Dayton (Tract 004600) | $86K | $92K | +6.3% | |
| Dayton (Tract 000802) | $85K | $87K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trotwood | $85K | $91K | +7.4% | |
| Shiloh | $69K | $84K | +20.9% | |
| Washington | $449K | $534K | +18.9% | |
| Kettering (Tract 021800) | $296K | $352K | +18.9% | |
| Dayton | $67K | $80K | +18.5% | |
| Kettering (Tract 021200) | $212K | $248K | +16.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.