Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Stark, OH · ZIP 44730 · Census Tract 39151713000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$205K
Downside (P10)
$174K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$225K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$295K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $132K | $140K | $134K | $141K | $146K | $148K | $152K | $171K | $198K | $194K | $205K | $211K | $219K | $225K |
| YoY Change | +5.8% | -4.0% | +5.0% | +3.7% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +11.9% | +15.9% | -2.0% | +5.9% | +2.7% | +3.8% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $178K | $173K | $174K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $253K | $274K | $295K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$178K to $253K
35.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$174K to $295K
53.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osnaburg area · East Canton · (Tract 7130) | $199K | $225K | +13.1% | |
| Lawrence (Tract 711202) | $207K | $234K | +13.0% | |
| Plain | $205K | $228K | +11.5% | |
| Perry area | $205K | $225K | +9.5% | |
| Washington | $199K | $213K | +7.0% | |
| Lawrence (Tract 711212) | $204K | $209K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osnaburg area · East Canton · (Tract 7130) | $199K | $225K | +13.1% | |
| Alliance | $129K | $154K | +19.0% | |
| Canton (Tract 702500) | $61K | $71K | +17.4% | |
| Canton (Tract 700701) | $157K | $184K | +17.0% | |
| Plain area | $315K | $367K | +16.7% | |
| Canton (Tract 700100) | $104K | $121K | +16.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osnaburg area · East Canton · (Tract 7130) | $199K | $225K | $121K | |
| Canton | $61K | $71K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.