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Canadian, OK · ZIP 73014 · Census Tract 40017300100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$169K
Downside (P10)
$147K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$180K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$221K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $103K | $98K | $103K | $99K | $94K | $94K | $116K | $136K | $155K | $168K | $169K | $171K | $178K | $180K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$66,850 | -$71,050 | -$66,150 | -$69,950 | -$75,350 | -$75,550 | -$53,850 | -$33,350 | -$14,050 | -$1,050 | +$2,072 | +$8,663 | +$10,716 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.5% | -42.0% | -39.1% | -41.3% | -44.5% | -44.6% | -31.8% | -19.7% | -8.3% | -0.6% | +1.2% | +5.1% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $147K | $147K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $191K | $207K | $221K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$147K to $191K
25.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$147K to $221K
40.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Canadian | $169K | $180K | +6.4% | |
| El Reno (Tract 300300) | $165K | $177K | +7.7% | |
| Mustang | $166K | $178K | +7.5% | |
| Yukon (Tract 301201) | $164K | $175K | +6.5% | |
| El Reno (Tract 300600) | $164K | $170K | +3.4% | |
| Yukon (Tract 300902) | $172K | $175K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Canadian | $169K | $180K | +6.4% | |
| El Reno | $257K | $302K | +17.6% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 301003) | $210K | $242K | +15.3% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 301001) | $290K | $332K | +14.2% | |
| East Canadian | $323K | $367K | +13.7% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 301014) | $229K | $261K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Canadian | $169K | $180K | $74K | |
| El Reno (Tract 300600) | $164K | $170K | $89K | |
| Yukon (Tract 300902) | $172K | $175K | $86K | |
| Yukon (Tract 301202) | $199K | $215K | $84K | |
| El Reno (Tract 300400) | $124K | $137K | $68K | |
| El Reno (Tract 300500) | $110K | $125K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Canadian, OK · ZIP 73014 · Census Tract 40017300100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$169K
Downside (P10)
$147K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$180K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$221K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $103K | $98K | $103K | $99K | $94K | $94K | $116K | $136K | $155K | $168K | $169K | $171K | $178K | $180K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$66,850 | -$71,050 | -$66,150 | -$69,950 | -$75,350 | -$75,550 | -$53,850 | -$33,350 | -$14,050 | -$1,050 | +$2,072 | +$8,663 | +$10,716 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.5% | -42.0% | -39.1% | -41.3% | -44.5% | -44.6% | -31.8% | -19.7% | -8.3% | -0.6% | +1.2% | +5.1% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $147K | $147K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $191K | $207K | $221K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$147K to $191K
25.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$147K to $221K
40.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Canadian | $169K | $180K | +6.4% | |
| El Reno (Tract 300300) | $165K | $177K | +7.7% | |
| Mustang | $166K | $178K | +7.5% | |
| Yukon (Tract 301201) | $164K | $175K | +6.5% | |
| El Reno (Tract 300600) | $164K | $170K | +3.4% | |
| Yukon (Tract 300902) | $172K | $175K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Canadian | $169K | $180K | +6.4% | |
| El Reno | $257K | $302K | +17.6% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 301003) | $210K | $242K | +15.3% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 301001) | $290K | $332K | +14.2% | |
| East Canadian | $323K | $367K | +13.7% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 301014) | $229K | $261K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Canadian | $169K | $180K | $74K | |
| El Reno (Tract 300600) | $164K | $170K | $89K | |
| Yukon (Tract 300902) | $172K | $175K | $86K | |
| Yukon (Tract 301202) | $199K | $215K | $84K | |
| El Reno (Tract 300400) | $124K | $137K | $68K | |
| El Reno (Tract 300500) | $110K | $125K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
