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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Carter, OK · ZIP 73401 · Census Tract 40019892801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$87K
Downside (P10)
$65K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$97K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$127K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $54K | $58K | $72K | $75K | $84K | $87K | $90K | $93K | $97K |
| YoY Change | +6.9% | +24.1% | +4.9% | +12.4% | +3.1% | +3.6% | +3.5% | +4.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $71K | $65K | $65K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $105K | $112K | $127K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$71K to $105K
37.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$65K to $127K
63.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ardmore | $86K | $97K | +13.1% | |
| Ardmore (Tract 892802) | $95K | $106K | +12.1% | |
| Wilson | $111K | $121K | +8.7% | |
| Ardmore (Tract 893100) | $99K | $108K | +8.2% | |
| Healdton North | $125K | $133K | +6.2% | |
| Healdton Central | $83K | $84K | +0.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ardmore | $86K | $97K | +13.1% | |
| Ardmore (Tract 892900) | $169K | $196K | +16.3% | |
| Ardmore (Tract 892802) | $95K | $106K | +12.1% | |
| Ardmore North | $203K | $225K | +11.1% | |
| Ardmore (Tract 893001) | $238K | $261K | +9.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ardmore | $86K | $97K | $61K | |
| Ardmore (Tract 892601) | $127K | $129K | $72K | |
| Ardmore (Tract 893100) | $99K | $108K | $64K | |
| Ardmore (Tract 892802) | $95K | $106K | $51K | |
| Healdton Central | $83K | $84K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.