What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40031000505 in Lawton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $180,043 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 40031000505 in Lawton?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $180,043 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.6%.

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Parcel 40031000505 (Lawton) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 40031000505, Lawton Home Price Forecast

Comanche, OK · ZIP 73505 · Census Tract 40031000505 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$180K

Downside (P10)

$156K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$204K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$274K

+52% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$141K	$140K	$151K	$165K	$177K	$180K	$182K	$185K	$204K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$38,943	-$39,643	-$28,643	-$14,643	-$3,243		+$2,361	+$5,357	+$24,416
Growth % vs 2026	-21.6%	-22.0%	-15.9%	-8.1%	-1.8%		+1.3%	+3.0%	+13.6%
Downside (P10)							$155K	$156K	$156K
Upside (P90)							$251K	$273K	$274K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$155K to $251K

52.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$156K to $274K

57.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +13.6% · Spread: 57%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 40031000505, Lawton on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).