County 40478, OK · Census Tract 40478320107 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$93K
Downside (P10)
$84K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$125K
+34% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$196K
+111% by 2030
Base case: +34% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +111%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 40478 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $93K | $113K | $113K | $117K | $125K |
| YoY Change | +22.0% | -0.2% | +3.2% | +7.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $92K | $87K | $83K | $84K | |
| Upside (P90) | $144K | $158K | $172K | $196K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$83K to $115K
34.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$84K to $196K
90.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520004 | $111K | $152K | +37.7% |
| Tract 560006 | $124K | $163K | +31.6% |
| Tract 240009 | $57K | $76K | +32.8% |
| Tract 200007 | $131K | $178K | +35.9% |
| Tract 040005 | $131K | $171K | +30.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 520004 | $111K | $152K | +37.7% |
| Tract 920002 | $566K | $775K | +36.9% |
| Tract 200007 | $131K | $178K | +35.9% |
| Tract 680009 | $138K | $186K | +35.1% |
| Tract 240009 | $57K | $76K | +32.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 240009 | $57K | $76K | $94K |
| Tract 200007 | $131K | $178K | $132K |
| Tract 680009 | $138K | $186K | $135K |
| Tract 560006 | $124K | $163K | $135K |
| Tract 040005 | $131K | $171K | $141K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources