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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
County 40174, OK · Census Tract 40174600008 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$64K
Downside (P10)
$57K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$91K
+42% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$149K
+132% by 2030
Base case: +42% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +132%. The model forecasts this with 44% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $64K | $77K | $79K | $84K | $91K |
| YoY Change | +19.7% | +3.3% | +5.3% | +9.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $61K | $55K | $53K | $57K | |
| Upside (P90) | $110K | $118K | $127K | $149K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$61K to $110K
63.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$57K to $149K
101.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 600008 | $64K | $91K | +42.0% | |
| Kaw City area | $67K | $95K | +42.1% | |
| Tract 440005 | $62K | $87K | +41.1% | |
| Tract 960006 | $63K | $85K | +36.6% | |
| Tract 200000 | $63K | $83K | +31.5% | |
| Kingfisher area | $67K | $82K | +22.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 600008 | $64K | $91K | +42.0% | |
| West Jackson area | $485K | $773K | +59.2% | |
| Tract 680008 | $443K | $694K | +56.6% | |
| Tract 400105 | $104K | $158K | +51.1% | |
| South Jefferson area | $50K | $76K | +51.1% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources