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County 40624, OK · Census Tract 40624960007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$308K
Downside (P10)
$253K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$411K
+33% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$664K
+115% by 2030
Base case: +33% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +115%. The model forecasts this with 45% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $308K | $353K | $373K | $380K | $411K |
| YoY Change | +14.4% | +5.6% | +2.0% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $266K | $247K | $241K | $253K | |
| Upside (P90) | $506K | $550K | $604K | $664K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$266K to $506K
68.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$253K to $664K
100.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960007 | $308K | $411K | +33.1% | |
| Tract 920005 | $271K | $436K | +60.7% | |
| Tract 320003 | $223K | $309K | +38.5% | |
| Tract 401003 | $339K | $468K | +38.3% | |
| Tract 560009 | $412K | $527K | +28.0% | |
| Tract 360005 | $429K | $477K | +11.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960007 | $308K | $411K | +33.1% | |
| Tract 920005 | $271K | $436K | +60.7% | |
| Tract 880006 | $87K | $129K | +47.8% | |
| Tract 480008 | $612K | $900K | +47.1% | |
| Tract 081009 | $101K | $146K | +44.3% | |
| Tract 320003 | $223K | $309K | +38.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 960007 | $308K | $411K | $411K | |
| Tract 200000 | $467K | $603K | $474K | |
| Tract 920005 | $271K | $436K | $427K | |
| Tract 320003 | $223K | $309K | $255K | |
| Tract 880006 | $87K | $129K | $162K | |
| Tract 081009 | $101K | $146K | $142K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources