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County 40170, OK · Census Tract 40170480002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$399K
Downside (P10)
$279K
-30% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$507K
+27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$921K
+131% by 2030
Base case: +27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -30% to +131%. The model forecasts this with 30% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $399K | $445K | $459K | $481K | $507K |
| YoY Change | +11.5% | +3.1% | +4.8% | +5.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $323K | $290K | $267K | $279K | |
| Upside (P90) | $647K | $753K | $804K | $921K |
The spread between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with high caution. This reflects sparse local data or extreme historical volatility.
1-Year Spread
$323K to $647K
72.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$279K to $921K
126.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480002 | $399K | $507K | +26.9% | |
| Tract 120003 | $218K | $301K | +38.1% | |
| Tract 160005 | $215K | $297K | +37.8% | |
| Tract 360009 | $311K | $415K | +33.6% | |
| Tract 760007 | $541K | $705K | +30.3% | |
| Tract 600002 | $563K | $681K | +21.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480002 | $399K | $507K | +26.9% | |
| Tract 120003 | $218K | $301K | +38.1% | |
| Tract 160005 | $215K | $297K | +37.8% | |
| Tract 360009 | $311K | $415K | +33.6% | |
| Tract 760007 | $541K | $705K | +30.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 480002 | $399K | $507K | $642K | |
| Tract 120003 | $218K | $301K | $380K | |
| Tract 360009 | $311K | $415K | $369K | |
| Tract 160005 | $215K | $297K | $226K | |
| Tract 400008 | $95K | $121K | $102K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources