What is the home price forecast for Guthrie · 73044 · (Tract 6008.2)?

Homecastr forecasts Guthrie · 73044 · (Tract 6008.2) median home values at $395,937 currently, with a 5-year expected change of -1.0%.

How confident is the Guthrie · 73044 · (Tract 6008.2) forecast?

The 5-year forecast range spans from $313,172 (downside) to $492,535 (upside), with a spread of 46% of median.

Guthrie · 73044 · (Tract 6008.2) Home Price Forecast

Logan, OK · ZIP 73044 · Census Tract 40083600802 · 2027–2030 outlook

Current modeled value

$396K

Downside (P10)

$313K

-21% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$392K

-1% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$493K

+24% by 2030

Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +24%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Logan markets.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$266K	$293K	$341K	$369K	$389K	$396K	$393K	$405K	$392K
YoY Change		+10.2%	+16.3%	+8.4%	+5.4%	+1.8%	-0.8%	+3.2%	-3.3%
Downside (P10)							$334K	$334K	$313K
Upside (P90)							$442K	$468K	$493K

Forecast Uncertainty

Narrow rangeWide range

The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.

1-Year Spread

$334K to $442K

27.3% of median

5-Year Spread

$313K to $493K

45.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: roughly flat5yr expected: -1.0% · Spread: 46%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Comparable Alternatives

Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.

Most Similar Neighborhoods

Areas with the most similar current median values

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Guthrie · 73044 · (Tract 6008.2)	$395K	$392K	-0.7%
Guthrie	$406K	$433K	+6.7%
Guthrie	$358K	$395K	+10.3%
Guthrie	$281K	$302K	+7.5%
Guthrie	$269K	$282K	+4.7%
Guthrie	$266K	$289K	+9.0%

Stronger Appreciation Potential

Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	5yr Change
Guthrie · 73044 · (Tract 6008.2)	$395K	$392K	-0.7%
Guthrie	$123K	$136K	+10.5%
Guthrie	$358K	$395K	+10.3%
Guthrie	$266K	$289K	+9.0%
Guthrie	$138K	$149K	+7.9%
Guthrie	$281K	$302K	+7.5%

Lower Risk Alternatives

Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)

Area	Current Value	5yr Expected	Spread
Guthrie · 73044 · (Tract 6008.2)	$395K	$392K	$179K
Guthrie	$123K	$136K	$57K
Guthrie	$138K	$149K	$62K
Crescent area	$129K	$134K	$66K
East Logan	$149K	$159K	$75K
Guthrie	$207K	$219K	$117K

Location

Guthrie · 73044 · (Tract 6008.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).