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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Muskogee, OK · ZIP 74434 · Census Tract 40101001401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$182K
Downside (P10)
$152K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$194K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$262K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $110K | $124K | $149K | $166K | $178K | $182K | $188K | $193K | $194K |
| YoY Change | +12.4% | +20.6% | +11.2% | +7.0% | +2.2% | +3.4% | +3.0% | +0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $161K | $162K | $152K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $219K | $247K | $262K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$161K to $219K
30.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$152K to $262K
56.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muskogee · Fort Gibson · (Tract 14.1) | $182K | $194K | +7.0% | |
| Muskogee (Tract 001301) | $218K | $239K | +9.3% | |
| Muskogee (Tract 000100) | $177K | $193K | +8.8% | |
| Muskogee Southwest | $153K | $166K | +8.7% | |
| Muskogee (Tract 000901) | $169K | $182K | +7.2% | |
| Muskogee (Tract 000801) | $167K | $178K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muskogee · Fort Gibson · (Tract 14.1) | $182K | $194K | +7.0% | |
| Muskogee (Tract 000400) | $110K | $129K | +17.2% | |
| Muskogee (Tract 001302) | $228K | $259K | +13.4% | |
| Muskogee (Tract 001000) | $131K | $148K | +12.7% | |
| Muskogee (Tract 000902) | $86K | $96K | +11.1% | |
| Muskogee (Tract 000700) | $67K | $75K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muskogee · Fort Gibson · (Tract 14.1) | $182K | $194K | $110K | |
| Muskogee (Tract 000400) | $110K | $129K | $55K | |
| Muskogee (Tract 000300) | $90K | $95K | $51K | |
| Muskogee (Tract 000902) | $86K | $96K | $46K | |
| Muskogee (Tract 000700) | $67K | $75K | $43K | |
| Muskogee (Tract 000200) | $78K | $81K | $42K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.