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Oklahoma, OK · ZIP 73114 · Census Tract 40109106303 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$214K
Downside (P10)
$199K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$225K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$281K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $118K | $93K | $96K | $116K | $124K | $129K | $160K | $171K | $195K | $205K | $214K | $220K | $227K | $225K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$96,443 | -$121,443 | -$118,343 | -$98,143 | -$90,343 | -$85,543 | -$53,943 | -$43,343 | -$18,743 | -$9,543 | +$5,576 | +$12,958 | +$11,200 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.0% | -56.7% | -55.3% | -45.8% | -42.2% | -39.9% | -25.2% | -20.2% | -8.8% | -4.5% | +2.6% | +6.1% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $189K | $194K | $199K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $244K | $267K | $281K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$189K to $244K
25.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$199K to $281K
36.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $209K | $225K | +7.7% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106609) | $217K | $238K | +9.4% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100800) | $206K | $221K | +7.1% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106607) | $214K | $228K | +6.7% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest (Tract 106710) | $214K | $223K | +4.3% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest (Tract 106910) | $207K | $212K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $209K | $225K | +7.7% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest | $194K | $230K | +18.5% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106708) | $283K | $331K | +17.1% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 102200) | $100K | $116K | +16.5% | |
| Midwest City | $94K | $109K | +15.8% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107002) | $86K | $100K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $209K | $225K | $83K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100400) | $86K | $97K | $35K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106301) | $67K | $71K | $35K | |
| Midwest City | $78K | $85K | $34K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 105201) | $67K | $73K | $33K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107303) | $64K | $70K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Oklahoma, OK · ZIP 73114 · Census Tract 40109106303 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$214K
Downside (P10)
$199K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$225K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$281K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $118K | $93K | $96K | $116K | $124K | $129K | $160K | $171K | $195K | $205K | $214K | $220K | $227K | $225K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$96,443 | -$121,443 | -$118,343 | -$98,143 | -$90,343 | -$85,543 | -$53,943 | -$43,343 | -$18,743 | -$9,543 | +$5,576 | +$12,958 | +$11,200 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.0% | -56.7% | -55.3% | -45.8% | -42.2% | -39.9% | -25.2% | -20.2% | -8.8% | -4.5% | +2.6% | +6.1% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $189K | $194K | $199K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $244K | $267K | $281K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$189K to $244K
25.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$199K to $281K
36.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $209K | $225K | +7.7% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106609) | $217K | $238K | +9.4% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100800) | $206K | $221K | +7.1% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106607) | $214K | $228K | +6.7% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest (Tract 106710) | $214K | $223K | +4.3% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest (Tract 106910) | $207K | $212K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $209K | $225K | +7.7% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest | $194K | $230K | +18.5% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106708) | $283K | $331K | +17.1% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 102200) | $100K | $116K | +16.5% | |
| Midwest City | $94K | $109K | +15.8% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107002) | $86K | $100K | +15.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City | $209K | $225K | $83K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100400) | $86K | $97K | $35K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106301) | $67K | $71K | $35K | |
| Midwest City | $78K | $85K | $34K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 105201) | $67K | $73K | $33K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107303) | $64K | $70K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
