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Oklahoma, OK · ZIP 73141 · Census Tract 40109108003 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$93K
Downside (P10)
$73K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$102K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$128K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $85K | $87K | $89K | $91K | $100K | $104K | $98K | $99K | $99K | $91K | $93K | $95K | $97K | $102K |
| YoY Change | +3.1% | +2.4% | +2.0% | +9.6% | +4.4% | -6.0% | +1.1% | +0.3% | -8.2% | +2.4% | +1.6% | +2.3% | +5.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $77K | $76K | $73K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $112K | $124K | $128K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$77K to $112K
36.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$73K to $128K
54.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Southeast | $91K | $102K | +11.7% | |
| Midwest City (Tract 108008) | $94K | $109K | +15.8% | |
| Midwest City (Tract 107605) | $94K | $103K | +9.6% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107104) | $94K | $102K | +8.2% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 104800) | $93K | $100K | +7.8% | |
| Del City | $93K | $99K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Southeast | $91K | $102K | +11.7% | |
| Oklahoma City Northwest (Tract 108319) | $326K | $398K | +21.9% | |
| Oklahoma City Northwest (Tract 108227) | $430K | $515K | +19.6% | |
| Edmond | $154K | $184K | +19.5% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest | $194K | $230K | +18.5% | |
| Oklahoma City | $109K | $128K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Southeast | $91K | $102K | $55K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100400) | $86K | $97K | $35K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106301) | $67K | $71K | $35K | |
| Midwest City | $78K | $85K | $34K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 105201) | $67K | $73K | $33K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107303) | $64K | $70K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.