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Oklahoma, OK · ZIP 73110 · Census Tract 40109108007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$172K
Downside (P10)
$144K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$185K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$244K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $126K | $124K | $126K | $129K | $132K | $132K | $137K | $159K | $169K | $169K | $172K | $173K | $183K | $185K |
| YoY Change | -1.5% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +2.6% | -0.1% | +3.9% | +15.7% | +6.2% | -0.2% | +2.2% | +0.8% | +5.6% | +1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $147K | $148K | $144K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $205K | $224K | $244K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$147K to $205K
33.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$144K to $244K
54.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midwest City | $172K | $185K | +7.7% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106606) | $176K | $198K | +12.2% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106911) | $171K | $191K | +12.1% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 101100) | $171K | $190K | +11.3% | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106709) | $173K | $190K | +10.2% | |
| Del City | $172K | $189K | +9.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midwest City | $172K | $185K | +7.7% | |
| Oklahoma City Northwest (Tract 108319) | $326K | $398K | +21.9% | |
| Oklahoma City Northwest (Tract 108227) | $430K | $515K | +19.6% | |
| Edmond | $154K | $184K | +19.5% | |
| Oklahoma City Southwest | $194K | $230K | +18.5% | |
| Oklahoma City | $109K | $128K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midwest City | $172K | $185K | $100K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 100400) | $86K | $97K | $35K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 106301) | $67K | $71K | $35K | |
| Midwest City | $78K | $85K | $34K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 105201) | $67K | $73K | $33K | |
| Oklahoma City (Tract 107303) | $64K | $70K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.