What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41011000505 in Coos Bay?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $179,899 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 41011000505 in Coos Bay?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $179,899 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.5%.

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Parcel 41011000505 (Coos Bay) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 41011000505, Coos Bay Home Price Forecast

Coos, OR · ZIP 97420 · Census Tract 41011000505 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$180K

Downside (P10)

$159K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$186K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$239K

+33% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$74K	$91K	$156K	$175K	$180K	$180K	$181K	$186K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$105,799	-$88,999	-$23,599	-$5,299		-$162	+$608	+$6,375
Growth % vs 2026	-58.8%	-49.5%	-13.1%	-2.9%		-0.1%	+0.3%	+3.5%
Downside (P10)						$159K	$165K	$159K
Upside (P90)						$201K	$211K	$239K

Forecast Confidence

76%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$159K to $201K

23.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$159K to $239K

42.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.5% · Spread: 43%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 41011000505, Coos Bay on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).