County 41509, OR · Census Tract 41509120000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$48K
Downside (P10)
$38K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$70K
+46% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$149K
+207% by 2030
Base case: +46% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +207%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 41509 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $48K | $63K | $61K | $64K | $70K |
| YoY Change | +30.8% | -3.1% | +3.9% | +10.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $43K | $40K | $38K | $38K | |
| Upside (P90) | $99K | $110K | $132K | $149K |
The forecast range is very wide. The gap between upside and downside scenarios is unusually large — treat any single-point estimate with caution. This often reflects sparse local data or significant market volatility.
1-Year Spread
$39K to $69K
62.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$38K to $149K
156.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
No comparable areas found for this neighborhood. This usually happens when only a small number of tracts in the county have forecast coverage.
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources