County 41820, OR · Census Tract 41820600005 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.73M
Downside (P10)
$2.22M
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.86M
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.77M
+38% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +38%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 41820 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $2.7M | $2.9M | $2.8M | $2.8M | $2.9M |
| YoY Change | +5.8% | -2.0% | -1.3% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $2.6M | $2.4M | $2.2M | $2.2M | |
| Upside (P90) | $3.4M | $3.4M | $3.6M | $3.8M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$2.53M to $3.05M
19.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$2.22M to $3.77M
54.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640104 | $2.93M | $3.53M | +20.2% |
| Tract 120006 | $2.11M | $1.55M | -26.7% |
| Tract 280001 | $1.96M | $1.68M | -14.2% |
| Tract 800009 | $1.68M | $2.01M | +20.0% |
| Tract 240009 | $1.60M | $1.20M | -25.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 840001 | $494K | $681K | +37.8% |
| Tract 680106 | $597K | $809K | +35.6% |
| Tract 640104 | $2.93M | $3.53M | +20.2% |
| Tract 800009 | $1.68M | $2.01M | +20.0% |
| Tract 320000 | $987K | $1.16M | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 640007 | $514K | $431K | $532K |
| Tract 680106 | $597K | $809K | $612K |
| Tract 840001 | $494K | $681K | $680K |
| Tract 280001 | $1.96M | $1.68M | $717K |
| Tract 080007 | $1.51M | $1.08M | $913K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources