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Josephine, OR · ZIP 97527 · Census Tract 41033361000 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$466K
Downside (P10)
$405K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$485K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$685K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $257K | $256K | $262K | $281K | $289K | $329K | $349K | $393K | $421K | $441K | $466K | $479K | $488K | $485K |
| YoY Change | -0.3% | +2.3% | +7.1% | +2.7% | +13.9% | +6.2% | +12.6% | +7.1% | +4.6% | +5.9% | +2.8% | +1.8% | -0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $409K | $402K | $405K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $576K | $619K | $685K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$409K to $576K
34.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$405K to $685K
57.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grants Pass · 97527 · (Tract 3610) | $458K | $485K | +5.8% | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 360800) | $445K | $485K | +9.0% | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 361302) | $453K | $489K | +8.1% | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 361101) | $440K | $476K | +8.1% | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 360602) | $441K | $474K | +7.3% | |
| Northwest Josephine | $458K | $490K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grants Pass · 97527 · (Tract 3610) | $458K | $485K | +5.8% | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 360500) | $361K | $415K | +14.9% | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 360704) | $340K | $378K | +11.2% | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 360400) | $524K | $581K | +10.8% | |
| Cave Junction | $384K | $423K | +10.2% | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 360701) | $325K | $357K | +9.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grants Pass · 97527 · (Tract 3610) | $458K | $485K | $280K | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 361201) | $405K | $420K | $196K | |
| Northwest Josephine | $345K | $369K | $192K | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 360500) | $361K | $415K | $184K | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 360703) | $332K | $352K | $181K | |
| Grants Pass (Tract 360701) | $325K | $357K | $174K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.