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Lane, OR · ZIP 97424 · Census Tract 41039001202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$421K
Downside (P10)
$367K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$428K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$541K
+28% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $179K | $186K | $196K | $206K | $232K | $243K | $276K | $326K | $388K | $409K | $421K | $419K | $428K | $428K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$242,358 | -$234,958 | -$225,658 | -$215,558 | -$189,658 | -$178,558 | -$145,458 | -$95,758 | -$33,458 | -$12,358 | -$2,746 | +$6,991 | +$6,681 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -57.5% | -55.8% | -53.6% | -51.2% | -45.0% | -42.4% | -34.5% | -22.7% | -7.9% | -2.9% | -0.7% | +1.7% | +1.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $368K | $370K | $367K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $473K | $503K | $541K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$368K to $473K
24.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$367K to $541K
40.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cottage Grove | $418K | $428K | +2.4% | |
| Badger Mountain | $419K | $476K | +13.5% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002700) | $416K | $441K | +6.0% | |
| Eugene | $419K | $443K | +5.7% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 003500) | $419K | $441K | +5.2% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002002) | $423K | $445K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cottage Grove | $418K | $428K | +2.4% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 005400) | $624K | $741K | +18.8% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002404) | $431K | $509K | +18.2% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002800) | $407K | $480K | +17.8% | |
| Eugene | $456K | $533K | +16.8% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002001) | $455K | $528K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cottage Grove | $418K | $428K | $173K | |
| Springfield | $315K | $351K | $160K | |
| Eugene-Springfield | $296K | $319K | $159K | |
| Florence | $255K | $266K | $158K | |
| Eugene | $224K | $234K | $151K | |
| Oakridge | $243K | $262K | $130K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lane, OR · ZIP 97424 · Census Tract 41039001202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$421K
Downside (P10)
$367K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$428K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$541K
+28% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $179K | $186K | $196K | $206K | $232K | $243K | $276K | $326K | $388K | $409K | $421K | $419K | $428K | $428K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$242,358 | -$234,958 | -$225,658 | -$215,558 | -$189,658 | -$178,558 | -$145,458 | -$95,758 | -$33,458 | -$12,358 | -$2,746 | +$6,991 | +$6,681 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -57.5% | -55.8% | -53.6% | -51.2% | -45.0% | -42.4% | -34.5% | -22.7% | -7.9% | -2.9% | -0.7% | +1.7% | +1.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $368K | $370K | $367K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $473K | $503K | $541K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$368K to $473K
24.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$367K to $541K
40.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cottage Grove | $418K | $428K | +2.4% | |
| Badger Mountain | $419K | $476K | +13.5% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002700) | $416K | $441K | +6.0% | |
| Eugene | $419K | $443K | +5.7% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 003500) | $419K | $441K | +5.2% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002002) | $423K | $445K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cottage Grove | $418K | $428K | +2.4% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 005400) | $624K | $741K | +18.8% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002404) | $431K | $509K | +18.2% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002800) | $407K | $480K | +17.8% | |
| Eugene | $456K | $533K | +16.8% | |
| Eugene-Springfield (Tract 002001) | $455K | $528K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cottage Grove | $418K | $428K | $173K | |
| Springfield | $315K | $351K | $160K | |
| Eugene-Springfield | $296K | $319K | $159K | |
| Florence | $255K | $266K | $158K | |
| Eugene | $224K | $234K | $151K | |
| Oakridge | $243K | $262K | $130K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
